478 11 Introduction to Jump Processes
Example 11.4.6. Let N(t) be a Poisson process with intensity A, let M(t) =
N(t)- At be the compensated Poisson process, and let
be 1 up to and including the time of the first jump and zero thereafter. Note
that cJ> is left-continuous. We have
t cJ>(s) dM(s) = {-At,^0 � t < St ,
}0 1 - ASt, t ;::::St
= ll[s 1 ,oo)(t) - A (t 1\ St). (11.4.6)
The notation t 1\ S1 in (11.4.6) denotes the minimum of t and S1. See Figure
11.4.1.
1
t
Fig. 11.4.1. Hrs1,ooJ (t)- A(t A SI).
We verify the martingale property for the process llrs.,oo)(t)-A(t 1\ St) by
direct computation. For 0 � s < t, we have
If S1 � s, then at time s we know the value of S1 and the conditional ex
pectations above give us the random variables being estimated. In particular,
the right-hand side of (11.4.7) is 1 -ASt = llrs.,oo)(s)-A(s 1\ St), and the
martingale property is satisfied. On the other hand, if S 1 > s, then
IP'{ St � tiF(s)} = 1 -IP'{ St > tiSt > s} = 1 - e->.(t-s), (11.4.8)
where we have used the fact that S 1 is exponentially distributed and used the
memorylessness (11.2.3) of exponential random variables. In fact, the memo
rylessness says that, conditioned on S 1 > s, the density of S 1 is
a a
- 8
u
IP'{St > uiSt > s} = -
au
e->.(u-s) = Ae->.<u-s), u > s.
It follows that, when S1 > s,