E¼SþB, P¼aE, S¼bP:
The coefficientsaandbcan be obtained by
regressionusing observations for asampleof
cities or for one city or region over time.
Growth (or decline) in local population and
employment is controlled by changes in the
basic sector, and the impacts (multipliers)
of such changes can be calculated from the
economic base equations:
E¼( 1 ab)^1 B,
P¼a( 1 ab)^1 B,
S¼ab( 1 ab)^1 B:
A unit increase inBgeneratesa/(1ab) units
of additional local population.
Economic base theory is very simplistic in
its assumptions, but because its data demands
are simple it has been widely employed in
regional economic analysis. It is used, for
example, in activity allocation models and
Lowry models. Correct identification of the
basic sector is crucial, andlocation quo-
tientsare frequently used for this purpose.
Either industries with high indices of special-
ization are defined as basic industries, or the
quotient is used to define a proportion of
employment in an industry as basic; so that,
for example, one-third of employment in
an industry with a quotient of 1.5 is designated
as basic employment. A more sophisticated
approach is to useinput–outputanalysis to
trace actual inter-industrial linkages, but this
is very data-demanding and expensive.
The major limitations of economic base
theory spring from its aggregative nature: the
difficulties of sector definition; the dubious
assumption that the aggregate multipliers
will remain constant; and an inability to trace
the impact of particular basic sector shifts,
such as a rise inoilexports, on specific sectors
of the localeconomy. lwh
Suggested reading
Glickman (1997).
economic geography A sub-field ofhuman
geography concerned with describing and
explaining the variedplacesandspaceswhere
economic activities are carried out and cir-
culate. The discipline was institutionalized in
the late nineteenth century in both Western
Europe and the USA, and remains one of the
core sub-fields of Anglo-American geog-
raphy. There have been repeated attempts to
forge links with its seeming intellectual soul
mate, economics, but none have held.
Economic geography from the beginning was
more empirically grounded, concerned with
context and conceptually open-minded, and
at the same time less abstract and less formally
theoretical than economics. There were
moments when the two became close, but
mostly they held themselves apart at a distance
(as they do now; cf.new economic geog-
raphy). Further, unlike economists, economic
geographers never settled on a singlemethod-
ology, set of techniques, list of venerated
luminaries, disciplinary problematic or defini-
tive definition. Change has been incessant,
the field continually reinventing itself. It
makes for an exciting, dynamic, open subject,
one that never looks back, and a frequent
conduit for new ideas into the rest of human
geography, but there is a nagging sense that
before old promises are realized, new ones are
made. Economic geography sometimes seems
like Penelope’s shroud: spun during the day,
and unravelled the same night.
Existing in embryonic form ascommercial
geography, the discipline was formally
defined in Germany in 1882 by Go ̈tz. While
commercial geography ‘chiefly served prac-
tical ends’, the purpose of economic geog-
raphy was ‘the scientific task of dealing with
the nature of world areas in their direct influ-
ence upon the production of commodities and
the movement of goods’ (Go ̈tz, quoted in
Sapper, 1931, p. 627). By the 1890s, eco-
nomic geography courses appeared for the first
time in US university calendars (Fellmann,
1986). The first Professor of Economic
Geography in Britain was Lionel Lyde,
appointed in 1903 at University College
London. Five years later, the University of
Edinburgh created a lectureship for George
Chisholm, who was author of the first
English-language economic geography text,
Handbook of commercial geography (1889).
Economic geography was up and running.
Chisholm’s book (published in 20 editions),
and J. Russell Smith’s later American version,
Industrial and commercial geography (1913),
set out an initial disciplinary agenda and intel-
lectual style that still resonates. The original
colonial context of the two books no longer
applies, but continuing to remain germane
were their concern with empirical detail, their
celebration of numbers, their predilection
for geographical categorization made visible
by themap, their tracing of relations among
places through economic flows especially of the
commodity, their emphasis on the geographical
effects of technological change and their
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ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY