Migration scenarios: turkey, egypt and Morocco 259
Table 9.1
Turkey: scenario 1
2012
2015
2020
2025
2030
gdp
eu
31,959.42
3 2 , 9 2 7. 8 2
34,607.47
36,372.80
38 , 228 .18
g d p
t urkey
13, 275. 37
14, 636 .10
18,679.78
26,19 9. 36
36 ,745.95
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
9 7. 9 0
85.25
54.45
- 9 3
gni
eu
32,352.00
33,233.39
34,756.05
36,348.48
38,013.87
gni
t urkey
10,488.00
11,895.75
16, 298. 21
24,501.66
3 7, 6 9 8. 8 4
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
9 7. 59
84.42
5 4.18
1.4 4
lpr
eu
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
lpr
t urkey
48.80
48.80
50.38
52.43
55.93
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
100.00
85.39
66.47
3 4.14
emigration potential
639,224
669,723
690,056
7 0 7, 8 4 8
average % differences
100.00
98.50
85.02
58.37
- 51
Final emigration potential
629,620
569,403
402,767
102,677
source: Fassmann; i
MF; un
; ilo
; authors’ calculations