The 48 Laws Of Power

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1948


154 LAW 20

Hence.
Thisis

risky

business.
First,

itisoftendifficulttoforeseewhichside

will

prevail

inthe

long

run.
But
even
if
youguessright

and

allyyourself

withthe
stronger
party,you
may

find

yourself

swallowed
up

and
lost,
or

convenientlyforgotten,

when

they

becomevictors.Sidewiththe
weaker,

ontheother
hand,

and
you

aredoomed.But

play

a
waitinggame

and
you

cannotlose.

InFrances

July

Revolution
of
1830,
afterthree

days

of
riots,
thestates-

man

Talleyrand,

now

elderly,

sat

by

hisParis
window,

listening

tothe

peel-

ing

bellsthat

signaled

theriotswereover.

Turning

toan
assistant,
he
said,

“Ah,

thebells! We’re

winning.”

“Who’s
‘we,’

man

puma?”

theassistant

asked.

Gesturing

forthemanto

keepquiet,Talleyrandreplied,

“Not
a

word!I’lltell
you

whowearetomorrow.”Hewellknewthat
only

fools

rushintoasitualion—tl1a.t

bycommitting

too

quicklyyou

lose
your

ma~

neuverability.People

also
respectyou

less:

Perhapstomorrow,theythink,

you

willcommitto
another,

dilferent
cause,

since

yougaveyourself

soeas

ily

tothisone.Goodfortuneisafickle

god

andwilloften
pass

fromone

sidetotheother.Commitment
toone
side

deprivesyou

ofthe

advantage

of

timeandthe

luxury

of
waiting.

Letothersfallinlovewiththis
group

or

that;
for
your
part

don’trush
in,
don’tlose
your

head.

Finally,

thereareoccasionswhenitiswisestto

drop

all
pretence

of
ap-

pearingsupportive

andinsteadto

trumpetyourindependence

andself»


reliance.Thearistocratic
pose

of

independence

is

particularlyimportant

forthosewhoneedto

gainrespect.GeorgeWashingtonrecognized

thisin

hisworktoestablishthe
young

American

republic

onfirm
ground

As

president,Washington

avoidedthe

temptation

of

making

analliancewith

Franceor

England,despite

the
pressure

onhimtodoso.Hewantedthe

country

toearntheworld’s

respectthrough

its

independence.Although

a

treaty

withFrance

mighthavehelped

in
theshort
toxin,

in
the

long

runhe

knewitwouldbemoreeffectivetoestablishthenation’s
autonomy.

Eu-

rope

wouldhavetoseetheUnitedStatesasan

equalpower.

Remember:Youhave
only

somuch
energy

andsomuchtime.

Every

momentwastedontheaffairsofotherssubtractsfrom

yourstrength.

You

may

beafraidthat

people

will
condemn
you

as

heartless,

but
in
the

end,

maintainingyourindependence

andselfvreliancewill

gain

you

morere

spect

and

placeyou

ina
position

of
power

fromwhich
you

canchooseto

help

otherson
your

owninitiative.
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