political science

attack can be expected to cause must take into account the uncertainties surrounding these operational accuracies. (CBO 1978 a,1 ...

the RAND Corporation SNAPPER Nuclear Damage Assessment Model focuses on blast eVects. SNAPPER was used by the CBO ( 1978 b) for ...

Wghting scenarios. Despite command and communication redundancies and other precautions, an attack on all of these command posts ...

release of sometimes high doses of radioactive substances during nuclear weapons tests and as part of the program of human radia ...

with the guarantee of 400 (later revised to 200 ) equivalent megatons for a second strike—that is, the USA should be able to inX ...

they did count and did not take into account other very important areas of uncer- tainty. In some equations, the mathematical ‘‘ ...

Planning for ‘‘reprogramming’’ on theXy during nuclear war was also unrealistic. The idea was that nuclear weapons held in reser ...

try: ‘‘To hedge against Soviet civil defense measures, it is assumed that half of the Soviet industrial base is hardened to 30 p ...

his work to critical scrutiny, and not just by other systems analysts. This is one of the great merits of the scientiWc method—i ...

public data will allow, and our interviews suggest that classiWed simulations produce similar results’’ ( 1989 , 213 ). Salman, ...

simplify the problem so drastically that it loses all realism’’ (Quade 1968 b, 359 ). But systems analysis did more than abridge ...

abstraction) and closer to (through a focus on detail and asenseof precision) the acts of nuclear violence. It was not just the ...

being made. 32 The ways that policy modeling and subsequent preparations for nuclear war reinforce the conXictual context were g ...

adopted over other methods of analysis? Are or were there plausible alternatives to systems analysis? Fourth, to what extent was ...

Batcher,R.T. 2004. The consequences of an Indo Pakistani nuclear war.International Studies Perspectives, 6 ( 4 ):135 62. Blair,B ...

2004 .WholeWorld on Fire: Organizations, Knowledge, and Nuclear Weapons Devastation. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. and M ...

Little, R. and Smith, S. (eds.) 1988 .Belief Systems and International Relations. Oxford: Basil Blackwell. MacKenzie,D. 1990 .In ...

Woolf,A. 2002. The nuclear posture review: overview and emerging issues. Congressional Research Service. Yengling,A. 1997. Telep ...

chapter 39 ..................................................................................................................... ...

Since the late 1960 s, spending on trials of social policy proposals in the USA has consumed over a billion dollars (Burtless 19 ...