Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists

(Sean Pound) #1

602 Chapter 14*:Life Testing


or, equivalently,


αˆ=

n
∑n
i= 1

x
βˆ
i

n+βˆlog

(n

i= 1

xi

)
=

nβˆ

∑n
i= 1

x
βˆ
i logxi
∑n
i= 1

x
βˆ
i

This latter equation can then be solved numerically forβˆ, which will then also determineαˆ.
However, ratherthanpursuingthisapproachanyfurther, letusconsiderasecondapproach,
which is not only computationally easier but appears, as indicated by a simulation study,
to yield more accurate estimates.


14.5.1 Parameter Estimation by Least Squares


LetX 1 ,...,Xnbe a sample from the distribution


F(x)= 1 −e−αx

β
, x≥ 0

Note that


log(1−F(x))=−αxβ

or


log

(
1
1 −F(x)

)
=αxβ

and so


log log

(
1
1 −F(x)

)
=βlogx+logα (14.5.3)

Now letX(1)<X(2)< ···<X(n)denote the ordered sample values — that is, for
i=1,....n,


X(i)=ith smallest ofX 1 ,...,Xn

and suppose that the data results inX(i)=x(i). If we were able to approximate the quantities
log log(1/[ 1 −F(x(i))]) — say, by the valuesy 1 ,...,yn— then from Equation 14.5.3, we

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