Strategic Planning in the Small Business

Unit I

HO 1-8 (continued)

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into the United States by

2004, and - a group of 35 nations (including

the other Canadian provinces will

the United States and the Soviet

follow suit by 2010. Union) - will pick up where NATO

o Hong Kong and Macao will re-

and the Warsaw Pact left off by creat­

join China, through previously

made ing a pan-European security structure.

46. The Information Revolution agreements, by 1997. Taiwan
    will a CSCE will transform the dip­

has

enabled many people formerly seek to join Mainland

China shortly lornatic process into an institution.

insulatedl from outside

influences to thereafter. The two Koreas will re- o The

methods of operation for

compare

their lives with those of unite before 2000.

voting an CSCE matters will likely

people in other countries. This 48. The role of

major international be revised (currently, each of the

knowledge has often raised their ex-

organizutions will become extremely member nations

holds veto power).

pe:tations,

and citizens in many un- important in the new world

order. 50. The field of public diplomacy

developed

and repressed lands have o The United Nations will finally

will ,ow, spurred by advances in

begun to demand change. This trend be

able to carry out its mission. The communication and by the

increased

can only spread as world

telecom- World Court will enjoy increased importance

and power of interra­

munications

networks become ever prestige. UNESCO's food,

literacy, tional organizations. 0­

more tightly linked, and

children's health funds will be

* East Germans learned of reforms bolstered. The World

Health Organi­

elsewhere in Eastern Europe

via zation will make progress in disease About the Authors

West German television; Romanians eradication

and in training pro- Marvin Cetron is president of Forecasting

learned through Hungarian media.

grams. The Food and Agriculture Or- International, Ltd., 1001 North

Highland

a International broadcasting en- ganization will receive rore funding Street,

Arington, Virginia22210.Heisco-au.

tities such as Voice of America, the for .tarvation relief and vrograms to thor(withOwenDavies)of AmericanRenais.

British Broadcasting Corporation,. help teach farming methods.

sance:OurLifeatthe Tumofthe21stCen.

tWry (St. Martin's Press, 1989) and co-author

and Cable

News Network dissemi- * More countries will be willing to

(with Margaret Gayle) ofEducaftonalRenais­

nate information around the world, reform internally to

meet require- sance: Our Schools at the Turn of the

sometimes influencing and inspiring ments for International

Monetary Tweny-First Century (St. Marlin's Press,

global events even as they report on Fund loans and World

Bank pro- 1991).

them. grams that rrovide

development and Owen Davls isco-author of Aerican

47. Politically, the world's most education
    funds and grants. Renaissance and former senior editor
    of

important trend is for nations to o More

medical aid from de- Omni magazine. His address is ?.O.

Box

form loose confederations, either by velo

1

,'ed countries will be provided,

355, Hancock, New lKfmpshire 03449.

breaking up the most-centralized na- frequently under the auspices or Thisarticleisadaptedfromtherforthcom­

tiors along ethnic and religious lines coordination of the United

Nations In book, Crystal Globe: The Haves and

Have-Notsofthe

New World Order (St. Mar­

or by uniting independent

countries or Red Cross/Red Crescent, to coun- fin's

Press, 1991). For ordering details, see

in international alliances, tries devastated

by plagues, famine, nside front cover.

e Yugoslavia will soon split into a or other natural disasters.

Red Cross

loose confederation

based on the re- and Red Crescent will step up ac­

gion's three dominant religions:

tivities in such areas as natural-disas-

Greek Orthodoxy, Roman Catholi- ter relief

and blood programs.. ­

cism, and Islam. Czechoslovakia is o Cooper,ion

will develop among For additional bopes oiSO Trends.:

already

loosening the ties between intelligence agencies from

different :Shaping the*.W ...- .d,'

its Czech and Slovak regions. And, -countries (e.g.,

Interpol, the CIA,

.One Copy.',.. |-:.

: ;$3:00,

Eh;

,

following a brief, unsuccessf,! at- and the KGB) in order to monitor ter- -. na­

tempt at

new repression by the right rorism and control antiterrorism

pro- .. 10

wing of the Communist Party, the grains en!d to
coordinate crime fight- 100 oror' " $1.Soeah...

Soviet Union will reorganize

itself as ing worldwide.

1 .... ..

.00 each

a confederation of 15 largely inde- 49. International
bodies will take Send check, money 6rder, or credit

pendent states. over much of the peacekeeping
role card Information to: World Future

o Quebec will secede

from Canada, now being abandoned by the super- Society,.

4916 Saint Elmo Avenue,

probably in 1996. The four eastern powers. The Conference on
Security Bethesda, Marylan6 23814

Canadian provinces will be
absorbed and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE)

THE FUTURIST Seplember-Oclober 1991 21

133