World Bank Document

(Jacob Rumans) #1

276 ■ CITIES AND CLIMATE CHANGE


role of urban infrastructure in shaping the long-term trajectory of energy and
climate securities protection and sustainable urban development prospects in
China. Based on a quantitative analysis in a selected case city (Tianjin), we
demonstrate how China can set its large cities on a sustainable energy supply-
and-demand track by building climate-resilient-buildings infrastructure in
cities, and we also discuss the implications for fi nancing policy and institu-
tional change.


A Comparative Study of Energy and Carbon Emissions Development
Pathways and Climate Policy in Southeast Asian Cities
Aumnad Phdungsilp


Th e United Nations has estimated that about half of the 6.5 billion world popu-
lation currently lives in cities. Moreover, an additional 1.8 billion people will
move to urban areas by the year 2030. Understanding the relationships between
energy-use patterns and carbon emissions development is crucial for estimating
future scenarios and can facilitate mitigation and adaptation of climate change.
Th is paper investigates the development pathways on selected Southeast Asian
cities, including Bangkok, Hanoi, Jakarta, and Manila, which are major cities
in the region in terms of energy consumption, carbon emissions, and climate
policies. Th e paper investigates the development of energy and carbon emis-
sions and climate change mitigation strategies of the selected case studies. In
addition, the paper attempts to estimate the energy consumption and associ-
ated carbon emissions. Th en, it compares overall patterns of selected cities and
analysis of their climate policies.


Characterizing the Response of Buildings to Climate Change: The
Issue of Overheating
Tristan Kershaw and David Coley


Many buildings currently demonstrate levels of overheating close to the maxi-
mum allowed by the building regulations of the countries in which they are
located. Th erefore there is the potential that such buildings will clearly breach
the regulations under the climatic conditions predicted as a result of climate
change. To examine the problem, weather fi les indicative of possible future cli-
mate were created and applied to a variety of buildings. Using numerous com-
binations of buildings and weather scenarios, the modeling demonstrated that
the projected levels of climate change engender a linear response in the internal
temperature of the buildings. Th e resulting constant of proportionality that this
implies has been termed the “climate change amplifi cation coeffi cient.” Th is
paper demonstrates that optimization of the climate change amplifi cation coef-

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