Migration scenarios: turkey, egypt and Morocco 281
Table 9.7
Morocco: scenario 1
2012
2015
2020
2025
2030
gdp
eu
31,959.42
3 2 , 9 2 7. 8 2
34,607.47
36,372.80
38 , 228 .18
gdp
Morocco
4,793.98
5,162. 59
5,841.00
6, 673.19
7, 7 3 6. 0 5
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
- 21
105.89
- 33
112. 2 5
gni
eu
32,352.00
33,233.39
34,756.05
36,348.48
38,013.87
gni
Morocco
3,048.00
3, 202. 31
3 , 6 2 3 .11
4,139. 31
4,798.60
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
102.48
- 24
109.91
113. 3 5
lpr
eu
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
lpr
Morocco
49.60
49.60
49.80
50.05
50.30
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
100.00
98.02
95.53
93.02
emigration potential
69 8 ,13 4
723,067
741,767
763,584
average % differences
100.00
- 56
103.38
104.92
- 21
Final emigration potential
709,046
747, 5 3 5
778,286
810,972
source: Fassmann; i
MF; un
; ilo
; authors’ calculations