Migration from the Middle East and North Africa to Europe Past Developments, Current Status, and Future Potentials (Amsterdam..

282 Michael BoMMes, siMon FellMer and Friederike ZigMann

Table 9.8

Morocco: scenario 2

2012

2015

2020

2025

2030

gdp

eu

31,959.42

3 2 , 9 2 7. 8 2

34,607.47

36,372.80

38 , 228 .18

gdp

Morocco

4,793.98

4,866.25

4,9 89.13

4,9 89.13

4,509.78

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

103.30

109.03

115. 5 3

124 .12

gni

eu

32,352.00

33,233.39

34,756.05

36,348.48

38,013.87

gni

Morocco

3,048.00

3,093.95

3 ,17 2. 0 8

3, 0 45.19

2,752.61

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

102.85

10 7. 7 8

113. 6 5

120. 33

lpr

eu

59.62

59.62

59.62

59.62

59.62

lpr

Morocco

49.60

49.60

49.60

49.60

45.75

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

138. 43

emigration potential

• 
  

69 8 ,13 4

723,067

741,767

763,584

average % differences

100.00

102.05

105.60

109.73

12 7. 6 3

Final emigration potential

• 
  

712 , 4 45

763,583

813,9 05

974, 537

source: Fassmann; i

MF; un

; ilo

; authors’ calculations