Migration scenarios: turkey, egypt and Morocco 283
Table 9.9
Morocco: scenario 3
2012
2015
2020
2025
2030
gdp
eu
31,959.42
3 2 , 9 2 7. 8 2
34,607.47
36,372.80
38 , 228 .18
gdp
Morocco
4,793.98
5,549.63
7,600.95
10 ,912 .15
15 , 811. 8 7
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
100.78
9 9.41
93.72
82.52
gni
eu
32,352.00
33,233.39
34,756.05
36,348.48
38,013.87
gni
Morocco
3,048.00
3,528.44
4,250.82
4 , 9 2 7. 8 7
5,880.76
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
- 37
104.10
10 7. 2 2
109.65
lpr
eu
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
59.62
lpr
Morocco
49.60
50.35
- 31
52.09
52.87
difference % (2012 = 100%)
100.00
92.54
82.92
75.19
- 3 5
Migration potential
69 8 ,13 4
723,067
741,767
763,584
average % differences
100.00
98.23
95.48
92.05
- 51
Final emigration potential
685,775
690,368
682,769
660,549
source: Fassmann; i
MF; un
; ilo
; authors’ calculations