Migration from the Middle East and North Africa to Europe Past Developments, Current Status, and Future Potentials (Amsterdam..

Migration scenarios: turkey, egypt and Morocco 283

Table 9.9

Morocco: scenario 3

2012

2015

2020

2025

2030

gdp

eu

31,959.42

3 2 , 9 2 7. 8 2

34,607.47

36,372.80

38 , 228 .18

gdp

Morocco

4,793.98

5,549.63

7,600.95

10 ,912 .15

15 , 811. 8 7

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

100.78

9 9.41

93.72

82.52

gni

eu

32,352.00

33,233.39

34,756.05

36,348.48

38,013.87

gni

Morocco

3,048.00

3,528.44

4,250.82

4 , 9 2 7. 8 7

5,880.76

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

101. 37

104.10

10 7. 2 2

109.65

lpr

eu

59.62

59.62

59.62

59.62

59.62

lpr

Morocco

49.60

50.35

51. 31

52.09

52.87

difference % (2012 = 100%)

100.00

92.54

82.92

75.19

67. 3 5

Migration potential

69 8 ,13 4

723,067

741,767

763,584

average % differences

100.00

98.23

95.48

92.05

86. 51

Final emigration potential

685,775

690,368

682,769

660,549

source: Fassmann; i

MF; un

; ilo

; authors’ calculations

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