The Rules of Contagion
Generally, we can trace problems with a forecast back to either the model itself or the data that goes into it. A good rule of t ...
Diphtheria outbreak in Cox’s Bazar Bangladesh, 2017–18. Each line shows the number of new cases on a given day, as reported in t ...
three years running between 2015 and 2018. The last time that happened was the Second World War. Despite some aspects of the cri ...
there was then another week or so between the illness appearing and death. Depending on whether we look at illnesses or deaths, ...
insurance companies, who are often more likely to fund painkillers than alternatives like physiotherapy. Our modern lifestyles a ...
families, communities, and jobs – of having large numbers of people with drug addiction. Because the success of different contro ...
know where crime is occurring, they generally have to rely on what’s being reported. When it comes to using models to predict cr ...
training it with data that’s generated by the same system in which minority people are more likely to be arrested for the same b ...
gun violence in the city, although Papachristos has distanced himself from the SSL.[85] The list itself is based on an algorithm ...
motorcyclists to wear helmets. Over the next six years, motorcycle thefts fell by two thirds. The reason was simple: inconvenien ...
course, this doesn’t mean broken windows policing has no effect. There’s evidence that the presence of things like graffiti and ...
health methods can help, suggests epidemiologist Melissa Tracy, because researchers have experience analysing long-term conditio ...
comes to online outbreaks, people tend to care about transmission for the opposite reason. They want to make things spread. ...
5 Going viral ‘Y was cancelled,’ read the e-mail. It was January 2001, and Jonah Peretti was trying to get some personalised ...
online content. He wanted to see what made things contagious and what kept them spreading. Over the next few years, he would sta ...
product, they could instead build enthusiasm from the ground up. ‘The whole thing that made it interesting to people in the mark ...
The experiment showed that messages don’t need highly connected people to get to a specific destination. But what if we’re inter ...
these individuals won’t necessarily pass it on much further. Then there’s the structure of our interactions. Whereas financial n ...
One of the most vocal online communities is the anti-vaccination movement. Members often congregate around the popular, but base ...
Europeans cowardly and unnatural. Cowardly, because they are afraid of putting their children to a little pain; unnatural, becau ...
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