The Rules of Contagion
contagious event and another – known in epidemiology as the ‘generation time’ – is relatively short. Some clusters of suicides h ...
the world of infectious diseases: programs will often recruit former sex workers to help change behaviour among workers who are ...
together through a series of co-offending events. Overall this group included 138,000 people, or about a third of the dataset. P ...
small. The vast majority consisted of a single shooting, with no additional contagion. However, occasionally the outbreaks were ...
transmitted through known social links, and the gap between one shooting and the next is long enough for interrupters to interve ...
capital of Europe. There were dozens of knife attacks a week, including numerous incidents of notorious ‘Glasgow smiles’ being s ...
changing in many places, but not as easily as he would hope. ‘It’s frustratingly slow,’ he said. O in public health is convi ...
after she met statistician William Farr at a dinner party that autumn. The two had very different backgrounds: Nightingale came ...
months in Crimea happened because people ignored these laws. ‘Nature is the same everywhere, and never permits her laws to be di ...
knowledge of management and administration, as well as an ability to interpret information. He said this was where Nightgale exc ...
gun safety just as with more research we’ve reduced traffic fatalities enormously over the last 30 years,’ Obama said in 2016. ‘ ...
funded studies found that having a gun in the home increased the risk of homicide and suicide. The latter finding was particular ...
first night of the riots, it would end up being one of the worst affected areas. In the months following the riots, Davies and h ...
it. ‘A one-man riot is a tantrum.’[54] So how does a riot grow from a single person? In 1978, Mark Granovetter published a now c ...
dynamics in terrorist groups could explain why large attacks are so much less frequent than smaller ones.[57] Although Johnson’s ...
Models and Rash Decisions’. According to Cooper, several models included questionable assumptions, with one particularly promine ...
In his critique, Cooper noted that other, more detailed smallpox models had come to similarly pessimistic conclusions about the ...
To be clear, there are some very good researchers within the wider CDC, and the Ebola model was just one output from a large res ...
Even if the 1.4 million estimate was just a scenario, it still implied a baseline: if nothing had changed, that is what would ha ...
at once, from tracing infected contacts and encouraging changes in behaviour to opening treatment centres and conducting safe bu ...
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